Today we are in a situation where surprise is a core element of change. On top of that lies an element of complexity. Not only is climate, ecosystems, health, and development interacting with each other in the hyper-connected world, not only do we have teleconnections, but what can occur when a series of global drivers – for example climate change and financial change across an interconnected global financial system – cause an impact which is totally unexpected, often in a very different part of the world than the very source of the problems? Such inconvenient feedbacks are big, major, surprising events that occur based on global drivers translating themselves to unexpected outcomes (Rocha, Biggs, and Peterson 2014).
These examples of social hyper-connectivity are increasingly well understood. They must be layered together with the recognition that we have exactly the same rising hyper-connectivity, even interdependence, given the teleconnections we see when it comes to changes in the environmental system. Together, the larger scale changes in the social and environmental systems illuminates how we all must live in a much more complicated, hyper-connected world where changes in the climate system effects ecosystems, which together influences both human health, economics, and development at large. This is the new reality that we’re facing, the reality of reflexive modernity. But it’s also a world where we must now understand risk and the probability of super wicked problems where multiple feedbacks begin interacting, and avoid potentials for a complex cocktail of cascading catastrophes from quickly overwhelming humanity’s ability to adapt in-time, without unprecedented disruption to civilization for many generations to come (Galaz et al. 2011).
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